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Red131
140341.8
30345.9
121853.6
Blue111
35720.9
22245.0
137037.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12782050100150200250131111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
53.60.5
44.845.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
222
#7
45.01.1
36.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
#3
45.90.5
39.339.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1370
#15
37.71.1
30.932.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1403
#21
41.80.5
35.936.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
357
#47
20.91.1
21.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End