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Red60
260740.6
457535.5
188119.3
Blue123
167652.9
331439.5
167219.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811175010015020060123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#34
40.61.3
40.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
1676
#23
52.90.6
52.252.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4575
#33
35.51.3
29.027.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
3314
#24
39.50.6
41.842.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1881
#43
19.31.3
16.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1672
#29
19.00.6
17.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End