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Red124
114322.9
253931.7
7527.3
Blue142
5643.6
86919.3
122841.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60100050150200124142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#32
31.72.9
27.530.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
56
#16
43.62.4
41.944.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
#39
27.32.9
22.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
1228
#19
41.72.4
40.342.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1143
#45
22.92.9
16.119.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
869
#18
19.32.4
11.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End