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Red114
334014.9
164036.6
434238.1
Blue98
162642.8
188119.3
31650.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210805015020011498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#17
38.11.4
31.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
316
#14
50.20.3
49.048.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1640
#26
36.61.4
36.537.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1626
#27
42.80.3
42.041.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3340
#42
14.91.4
17.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1881
#43
19.30.3
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End