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Red132
249515.5
272956.5
22245.0
Blue124
259060.5
130220.3
127945.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051170200300400132124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.2
52.954.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
60.50.4
55.455.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
222
#7
45.01.2
37.739.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
45.10.4
38.438.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2495
#37
15.51.2
16.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1302
#48
20.30.4
21.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End