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Red126
447517.0
331439.5
397440.0
Blue133
457535.5
22245.0
428543.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91113050150200250300126133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#28
40.01.6
41.342.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
222
#7
45.01.2
39.040.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3314
#24
39.51.6
39.340.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
4285
#20
43.61.2
40.341.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4475
#41
17.01.6
13.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
4575
#33
35.51.2
29.931.1
Auto
Teleop
End