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Red105
188119.3
86919.3
428543.6
Blue61
457535.5
137037.7
249515.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698705010015020025010561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#20
43.61.7
41.543.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1370
#15
37.71.2
34.933.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1881
#43
19.31.7
15.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
4575
#33
35.51.2
31.129.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
869
#18
19.31.7
15.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2495
#37
15.51.2
18.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End