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Red101
48625.3
27232.1
35720.9
Blue133
447517.0
192336.4
137037.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81804060100120101133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#49
32.11.1
30.531.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1370
#15
37.72.6
33.836.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
486
#35
25.31.1
27.628.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
1923
#22
36.42.6
31.434.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
357
#47
20.91.1
21.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4475
#41
17.02.6
15.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End