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Red118
260740.6
428543.6
27232.1
Blue145
162642.8
334014.9
259060.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111380100140160180118145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#20
43.60.1
44.244.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
60.51.5
57.058.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2607
#34
40.60.1
43.643.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1626
#27
42.81.5
39.941.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
272
#49
32.10.1
31.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
3340
#42
14.91.5
17.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End