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Red125
397440.0
140341.8
27232.1
Blue107
192336.4
114322.9
139129.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178350100150125107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#21
41.80.7
41.041.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1923
#22
36.40.9
36.837.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3974
#28
40.00.7
39.340.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
1391
#30
29.60.9
29.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
272
#49
32.10.7
31.532.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1143
#45
22.90.9
22.022.9
Auto
Teleop
End