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Red140
164036.6
259060.5
272956.5
Blue134
127945.1
108940.4
167652.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15613550100200250140134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.2
60.260.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1676
#23
52.90.1
53.052.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56.50.2
56.356.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
45.10.1
45.245.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#26
36.60.2
36.436.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1089
#12
40.40.1
40.540.4
Auto
Teleop
End