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Red96
446017.5
428543.6
22554.5
Blue162
140341.8
22245.0
1155.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111485010020025096162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#25
54.50.3
54.954.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
11
#9
55.80.3
55.756.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4285
#20
43.60.3
43.943.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
222
#7
45.00.3
44.945.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
17.50.3
17.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
1403
#21
41.80.3
41.742.0
Auto
Teleop
End