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Red119
205265.6
222015.1
297728.0
Blue78
313033.7
181620.6
216959.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8713205010015020025011978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
65.61.2
55.056.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2169
Unranked
59.32.4
71.469.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2977
Unranked
28.01.4
25.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3130
Unranked
33.72.4
35.232.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2220
Unranked
15.11.2
14.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1816
Unranked
20.62.4
18.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End