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Red105
270540.6
181620.6
253822.3
Blue56
324424.4
250226.9
327724.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777520406010012010556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
Unranked
40.61.4
37.438.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
2502
Unranked
26.91.0
27.226.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2538
Unranked
22.31.4
21.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3277
Unranked
24.61.0
25.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1816
Unranked
20.61.4
17.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
3244
Unranked
24.41.0
24.023.0
Auto
Teleop
End