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Red150
313033.7
310230.2
217544.0
Blue64
305616.8
374729.0
252623.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086605015020015064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
Unranked
44.02.4
37.039.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
3747
Unranked
29.00.4
28.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3130
Unranked
33.72.4
34.737.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2526
Unranked
23.20.4
23.823.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3102
Unranked
30.22.4
30.032.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
3056
Unranked
16.80.4
20.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End