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Red129
453926.8
270540.6
297728.0
Blue76
252623.2
251829.1
222526.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937720406012014016018012976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
Unranked
40.61.9
39.341.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
2518
Unranked
29.10.2
29.929.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2977
Unranked
28.01.9
26.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2225
Unranked
26.40.2
26.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4539
Unranked
26.81.9
24.926.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2526
Unranked
23.20.2
23.423.2
Auto
Teleop
End