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Red157
973C64.7
167869.1
3970B25.6
Blue142
183633.3
97156.2
167122.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169101050150200250300350157142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
Unranked
69.10.0
68.668.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
971
Unranked
56.20.5
56.056.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
973C
Unranked
64.70.0
64.364.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.4
1836
Unranked
33.30.5
33.133.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3970B
Unranked
25.60.0
25.225.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1671
Unranked
22.60.5
22.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End