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Red0
973B53.4
385913.9
Blue43
971B45.5
330311.1
25613.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5249020406080100043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973B
Unranked
53.429.9
53.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
971B
Unranked
45.520.4
45.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3859
Unranked
13.92.9
15.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
256
Unranked
13.40.3
13.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3859B
Unranked
8.44.8
8.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3303
Unranked
11.10.3
11.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End