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Red131
973C64.7
142221.1
183633.3
Blue102
348215.3
84653.6
167122.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105630150200250300350131102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973C
Unranked
64.72.7
49.252.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
846
Unranked
53.61.6
39.140.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1836
Unranked
33.31.6
27.629.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
1671
Unranked
22.61.6
16.318.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1422
Unranked
21.11.6
21.423.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
3482
Unranked
15.31.6
13.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End