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Red56
186833.8
385913.9
207324.7
Blue127
397034.8
132354.6
10038.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66119010015020025030035056127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
Unranked
33.80.9
38.837.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
1323
Unranked
54.60.8
45.546.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2073
Unranked
24.70.9
23.122.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
100
Unranked
38.40.8
34.235.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3859
Unranked
13.90.9
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
3970
Unranked
34.80.8
30.831.7
Auto
Teleop
End