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Red48
3970B25.6
971C12.8
29525.4
Blue81
97156.2
349525.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170204060801004881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970B
Unranked
25.61.7
20.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.6
971
Unranked
56.20.5
44.444.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
295
Unranked
25.41.0
31.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3495
Unranked
25.40.5
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
971C
Unranked
12.81.7
16.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3859B
Unranked
8.40.7
8.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End