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Red143
973B53.4
3970B25.6
183633.3
Blue113
397034.8
1323B24.4
971B45.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97966080120140160143113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973B
Unranked
53.43.6
44.548.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
971B
Unranked
45.51.0
36.537.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1836
Unranked
33.32.5
29.732.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3970
Unranked
34.80.7
35.235.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3970B
Unranked
25.63.6
19.523.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1323B
Unranked
24.41.0
27.428.4
Auto
Teleop
End