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Red20
186833.8
60429.5
29525.4
Blue120
85217.4
25473.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028905015020020120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
Unranked
33.84.0
38.534.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.0
254
Unranked
73.81.5
72.073.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
Unranked
29.54.0
32.128.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
852
Unranked
17.41.5
15.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
295
Unranked
25.44.0
29.425.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
4543B
Unranked
3.91.6
3.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End