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Red43
482817.5
453410.5
397114.7
Blue10
34930.7
265510.9
376312.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31320102040506070804310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#22
17.51.0
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
3763
#42
12.41.8
13.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3971
#21
14.71.0
9.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2655
#48
10.91.4
10.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4534
#19
10.51.0
8.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
3493
#55
0.71.8
7.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End