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Red70
376312.4
331923.9
264228.2
Blue85
205931.0
153315.5
482423.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33480204060801001207085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#17
28.22.9
15.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
31.02.8
23.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3319
#11
23.92.9
9.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
23.110.3
23.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3763
#42
12.42.9
10.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1533
#14
15.53.3
12.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End