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Qual 312013 North Carolina Regional
Red14
12210.9
38221.4
264010.8
Blue3
47676.4
42458.8
42909.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48180406080100143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#29
10.92.5
16.7→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
4290
#36
9.01.6
8.7→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2640
#27
10.82.5
17.3→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
4245
#44
8.81.6
8.5→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3822
#53
1.42.5
9.4→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.0
4767
#51
6.41.6
5.5→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—