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Qual 42013 North Carolina Regional
Red2
32298.3
34022.8
397114.7
Blue54
479518.2
40837.5
43529.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33410206080100254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3971
#21
14.72.7
12.4→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.4
435
#1
29.21.0
21.2→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3229
#49
8.32.7
10.5→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.9
4795
#41
18.27.5
18.2→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3402
#52
2.82.7
11.3→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.6
4083
#34
7.51.0
8.9→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—