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Red54
319620.0
373714.7
482817.5
Blue45
1165.6
34022.8
345917.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4024060805445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#15
20.00.8
15.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3459
#16
17.01.0
13.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4828
#22
17.51.3
14.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
116
#50
5.61.5
7.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3737
#13
14.71.3
8.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
3402
#52
2.81.5
5.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End