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Red43
90011.8
124924.7
47676.4
Blue40
397114.7
479518.2
370118.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30360102040506070804340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
19.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4795
#41
18.20.4
13.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
900
#43
11.81.0
7.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
18.10.4
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4767
#51
6.41.0
3.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3971
#21
14.70.4
11.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End