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Red31
40837.5
48166.6
331923.9
Blue10
264010.8
34930.7
321511.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293301020405060703110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3319
#11
23.90.1
18.418.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
3215
#30
11.21.9
15.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4083
#34
7.50.1
5.75.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2640
#27
10.81.9
12.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4816
#35
6.60.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
3493
#55
0.71.9
3.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End