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Red2
47676.4
33319.4
38450.2
Blue29
453410.5
128726.5
1165.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254306080100229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3331
#26
9.42.1
9.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
1287
#18
26.50.8
18.017.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4767
#51
6.41.0
6.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
4534
#19
10.52.0
10.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3845
#47
0.22.1
8.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
116
#50
5.61.0
13.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End