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Red61
122518.0
58715.8
128726.5
Blue65
265510.9
205931.0
153923.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801006165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#18
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
31.00.0
31.231.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1225
#45
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
23.20.0
23.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
587
#12
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2655
#48
10.90.0
11.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End