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Red140
153873.7
198681.7
21742.5
Blue184
347663.6
30357.1
164047.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209160050100250300350400140184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#19
81.71.0
82.781.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
3476
#18
63.60.3
63.363.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
73.71.0
74.873.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
303
#3
57.10.3
56.857.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
217
#81
42.51.0
43.542.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1640
#24
47.50.3
47.247.5
Auto
Teleop
End