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Red124
261252.1
12212.9
18055.2
Blue146
21742.5
380233.6
19142.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119105050150200124146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#69
55.20.4
51.852.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
191
#28
42.81.9
37.139.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2612
#52
52.10.4
52.753.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
217
#81
42.51.9
39.741.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
122
#89
12.90.4
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
3802
#39
33.61.9
30.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End