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Red196
347663.6
151518.4
164047.5
Blue77
131127.0
30357.1
9325.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105110020030040050019677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#18
63.64.5
54.559.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
303
#3
57.11.6
55.253.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1640
#24
47.54.5
38.042.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
1311
#16
27.01.6
27.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1515
#86
18.44.5
13.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
93
#31
25.61.6
26.324.7
Auto
Teleop
End