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Red191
243941.4
171862.9
7946.7
Blue218
445143.3
247151.1
34147.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14012650100150200191218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#47
62.92.7
58.661.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2471
#30
51.14.5
47.151.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
#48
46.72.7
41.344.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
341
#5
47.94.5
43.147.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2439
#12
41.42.7
37.840.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4451
#42
43.34.5
37.942.4
Auto
Teleop
End