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Qual 1212013 Newton Division
Red122
141031.7
188532.2
465217.4
Blue165
347663.6
17543.6
198537.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551520100200250300350122165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#58
32.22.6
29.7→32.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 31.4
3476
#18
63.61.4
59.0→60.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1410
#84
31.72.6
29.2→31.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.9
175
#23
43.61.4
41.6→43.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4652
#97
17.42.6
11.8→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 20.1
1985
#13
37.51.4
36.1→37.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—