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Red50
208019.2
450518.0
77115.8
Blue83
448726.0
462915.5
164623.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080905083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#90
19.20.1
19.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
4487
#76
26.01.5
19.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4505
#82
18.00.1
21.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1646
#37
23.21.5
22.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
#74
15.80.1
11.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4629
#62
15.51.8
11.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End