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Red171
388023.3
6860.2
261948.4
Blue102
465217.4
9325.6
11632.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13427050100150200171102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#11
60.22.7
52.355.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.2
116
#93
32.02.9
19.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2619
#65
48.42.7
44.246.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
93
#31
25.62.9
19.622.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3880
#51
23.32.7
20.723.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
4652
#97
17.42.9
4.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End