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Red103
347663.6
22839.8
458612.5
Blue75
13144.9
278327.9
462915.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54860204010012014016010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#18
63.62.2
42.044.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
131
#36
44.90.3
41.741.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4586
#50
12.52.7
6.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
2783
#61
27.90.3
25.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2283
#83
9.82.2
9.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4629
#62
15.50.3
13.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End