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Red100
451933.8
45729.1
171862.9
Blue117
174155.1
399741.3
2528.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79114050100150200100117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#47
62.90.8
55.356.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1741
#22
55.10.4
49.850.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4519
#57
33.80.8
24.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
41.30.5
32.232.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4572
#78
9.10.9
4.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
25
#66
28.30.4
26.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End