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Red199
198681.7
458612.5
167655.3
Blue87
141031.7
261948.4
208019.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1458105010020025019987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#19
81.73.2
73.176.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.3
2619
#65
48.40.2
46.946.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
#14
55.33.2
52.055.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
1410
#84
31.70.2
25.825.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4586
#50
12.53.6
9.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2080
#90
19.20.2
18.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End