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Qual 502013 Newton Division
Red163
347663.6
466613.1
156947.7
Blue107
333924.6
174155.1
261252.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84128050100150200250163107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#18
63.63.6
44.3→47.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.5
1741
#22
55.10.7
50.3→49.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1569
#10
47.73.6
38.9→42.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.4
2612
#52
52.10.7
52.8→52.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4666
#75
13.13.6
7.7→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.4
3339
#41
24.60.8
18.4→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—