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Red126
22556.7
453922.3
21742.5
Blue138
297447.6
13144.9
11632.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117100050150200250126138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#25
56.70.6
55.656.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
2974
#29
47.61.8
36.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#81
42.50.6
40.240.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
131
#36
44.91.8
41.743.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4539
#33
22.30.6
18.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
116
#93
32.01.8
25.026.8
Auto
Teleop
End