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Red109
131127.0
205250.9
48289.8
Blue54
141031.7
388023.3
156947.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829205015020010954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.3
44.445.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1569
#10
47.71.8
42.640.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1311
#16
27.01.3
27.528.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1410
#84
31.71.8
25.623.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4828
#100
9.81.3
11.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
3880
#51
23.31.8
22.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End