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Red155
8821.6
357420.5
156947.7
Blue106
445143.3
458612.5
17543.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7391050150200250155106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#10
47.74.0
40.744.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
175
#23
43.60.9
38.839.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
#60
21.64.0
20.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
4451
#42
43.30.9
36.537.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3574
#32
20.54.0
14.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4586
#50
12.50.9
13.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End