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Red145
205460.5
21742.5
131127.0
Blue114
167125.7
198681.7
15536.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12813850100200250300145114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.8
60.361.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
1986
#19
81.71.1
78.177.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#81
42.50.8
40.841.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
155
#44
36.51.1
34.133.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1311
#16
27.00.8
28.729.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1671
#68
25.71.1
24.223.1
Auto
Teleop
End