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Red143
82949.7
219422.6
189948.5
Blue137
130532.5
347663.6
324425.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111105050150200250300143137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#6
49.71.6
43.945.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
3476
#18
63.61.5
52.954.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1899
#49
48.51.6
46.047.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
1305
#59
32.51.5
31.533.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#45
22.61.6
20.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3244
#94
25.21.5
21.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End