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Red131
357420.5
152343.6
297447.6
Blue109
173030.3
19556.6
247151.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94144050200250300131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#29
47.61.5
42.143.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
195
#35
56.61.4
56.455.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1523
#34
43.61.5
41.242.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
2471
#30
51.11.4
48.547.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3574
#32
20.51.5
18.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1730
#38
30.31.4
31.430.0
Auto
Teleop
End