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Red113
19035.3
399741.3
17543.6
Blue78
167655.3
21742.5
48289.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10511605015020025011378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#23
43.60.3
39.740.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
1676
#14
55.31.8
59.057.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.30.3
35.235.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
217
#81
42.51.8
41.539.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
190
#15
35.30.3
31.932.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
4828
#100
9.81.8
14.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End